pokemon go apk回顾2017，游戏产业度过了精彩(6)

So what should we expect in the next 12 months? Can VR and esports show mainstream potential? Will Nintendo maintain its new Wii-like momentum? Will there be any new hardware announcements? No one knows for sure, but industry analysts always enjoy providing their forecasts and prognostications, so weve assembled our usual annual analyst panel to offer up some 2018 predictions and (in some cases) to evaluate their statementsfrom the last year. Below youll find predictions from SuperDatas Joost van Dreunen, NPDs Mat Piscatella, IHS Markits Piers Harding-Rolls, Wedbush Securities Michael Pachter, and Kantan Games Dr. Serkan Toto.

Joost van Dreunen, SuperData

Last year I said:

Mobile gaming will reach $40 billion in worldwide revenues.??Looks like $40B was conservative as mobile gaming is totaling $60B for 2017. The expectation that legacy publishers would figure out and lead this market, however, didnt quite happen, mostly because of a surge in innovation coming from Asia.

Esports will undergo a real stress-test to become a media market as ad budgets grow Activision Blizzard and Tencent (Riot Games) will generate around $200 million each from selling broadcasting rights.??In spite of the hype this year, the development of esports into a revenue-based business is taking longer than expected. Both Activision and Riot did manage to make about the amounts I predicted.

VR finds its killer app. If 2016 is the year that consumer-ready VR was born, then 2017 will be the year that it starts teething.??Large publishers have mostly stayed away from VR but with 2M units for the PSVR the category did grow steadily over 2017.

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